Welcome to the FOCUS PROJECT REFERENCE SCENARIO WIKI

"Foresight Security Scenarios:
Mapping Research to a Comprehensive Approach to Exogenous EU Roles"


This Wiki is a higher education initiative within the Security Research project FOCUS, co-funded by the European Union.

The purpose of this Wiki is to provide a collobarative educational environment to develop scenario descriptions for future Security Research.

The FOCUS reference scenarios for planning of "Security Research 2035" to support security roles of the "EU 2035" are based on horizon scanning, study work and foresight conducted in the FOCUS project. The five reference scenarios were derived by an analytical procedure - comprising among other things a comprehensive scenario assessment online questionnaire - from a larger scenario portfolio for European Security Research 2035. They include the following:

Reference scenario "Security Research 2035"	Main thematic aspect (based on FOCUS five "Big Themes")	Related chapter on FOCUS IT-based Knowledge Platform
No Land is an Island: A protected EU homeland with external responsibilities	Future concept of the comprehensive approach and future concept of EU homeland security	Chapter 1
Policy Drives All in a Have, Have-Not World: Security research on natural disasters and the global environment	Natural disasters and the global environment – EU civil protection and emergency management	Chapter 2
Security as Societal Science: Critical infrastructure and supply chain research driven by societal factors	Critical infrastructure and supply chain protection	Chapter 3
Borderless Threats = Mission Creep: The EU’s forced march toward a stronger Common Security and Defence Policy	EU as a global actor	Chapter 4
Inside Out: Inward coherence and governance opens the door to external policy	EU internal framework (as EU role determinant)	Chapter 5

These reference scenarios have been assigned main drivers, and they will result in a couple of FOCUS conclusions for future Security Research that will be substantiated by a FOCUS roadmap proposal for the planning of "Security Research 2035."

Relevant terminology will be explained in the FOCUS Security European Research Glossary (under construction). A list of abbreviations related to security research and the FOCUS scenarios as part of the glossary work is already available.



FOCUS is co-funded by the European Commission under the 7th Framework Programme, theme "security", call FP7-SEC-2010-1, work programme topic 6.3-2 "Fore sighting the contribution of security research to meet the future EU roles".